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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Aquaria

(1,076 posts)
38. The difference is that Biden's campaign was hanging by a thread
Thu Mar 19, 2020, 10:59 AM
Mar 2020

When only three low-population states had had their say--two of them blindingly white.

Since then, more, bigger and more diverse states have made their voices heard. Their voters have spoken, and chose someone else.

Unlike with Biden before South Carolina, with an abundance of delegate-rich states yet to weigh in, there is no maybe later for BS. There is no thread for him to hang onto. 60% of the delegates have been snatched up and BS is behind. By some 295 delegates as we speak. He would have to get 70% of the vote in the remaining primaries to win the nomination. I would love to hear how he pulls that off when he hasn't managed to get out of the 30s in any state, even California, where he would have lost by ten or more percentage points if Bloomberg hadn't been in the race. Are you aware of the fact that BS has won barely more counties since South Carolina than Biden won in Texas alone? Ever since the race came down to Biden vs BS, Biden has been winning. Handily.

Where is the path to the nomination for BS? He's not polling ahead of Biden in any remaining state. He is not even polling close to the margin of error. He's double digits down in multiple states.

This much I know, because I know demographics and, from long observation and experience, I know how certain states vote and why:

BS will not win any of the red state primaries, including Wisconsin. They will never vote for a Jewish Commie. I'm not saying their assessment is right or fair, only that most red staters see him that way. It's not a positive for them.

BS will not win the remaining Rust belt states of Pennsylvania and Ohio. Biden is their guy and always would have been. Our former VP speaks their language and rides the same wavelength they do. Always has. BS does not, and never will. And never forget: Biden is a Native Son in Pennsylvania. BS doesn't stand a chance against him there, and he is doomed if he doesn't win big in PA.

Speaking of, BS will not win in Delaware against their former Senator. He will not win heavily Catholic Rhode Island against Catholic Biden. If anything Biden will cream him in both. They're small states, yes, but BS can't afford to lose big in either of them.

If BS couldn't win MA or WA, he has little chance of winning CT, NJ or NY. They're the same type of electorates: Diverse white collar cities, lots of suburban soccer moms, and wide swaths of conservative rural districts. Even if he could eke out a victory from any or all of them, he still wouldn't collect enough delegates to save him. Biden will get a minimum 40% of their delegates, no matter what.

BS won't even win DC, because they know him and thus know better.

He is DONE. It's his own fault if he refuses to face that reality.

So shrug your shoulders all you want, but the cold hard facts speak far louder.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

BS said this.. Did he mean it?... Cha Mar 2020 #1
It doesn't mean anything yet.... getagrip_already Mar 2020 #26
Bernie needs to stand down PJMcK Mar 2020 #2
If You Assume That Bernie Will Try To Undermine Chances of Beating Trump... TomCADem Mar 2020 #3
Then regarding #2.. BS doesn't really care about Cha Mar 2020 #5
As this one segment shows, it is tough for Bernie to keep his story straight... TomCADem Mar 2020 #11
I know.. it's ridiculous and Cha Mar 2020 #13
Sanders won't get out...can we please stop protecting him on this Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #17
Well said. NanceGreggs Mar 2020 #7
Well Done, Sir! The Magistrate Mar 2020 #12
Corona virus is a problem for him though...as the coverage is all encompassing and ignores his Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #18
I've copied and saved this handy four-point checklist. Mister Ed Mar 2020 #22
He needs to be neutered. Going forward, NO committee or chair assignments. NurseJackie Mar 2020 #24
Sanders lost. Voter spoke. Sanders needs to get behind Biden 100%, save lives in a time of crisis. LizBeth Mar 2020 #4
Give Bernie a break he know's what to do way better than most of any one here.l. Danmark Mar 2020 #6
No. BS lost.. the Voters have Rejected him.. Cha Mar 2020 #8
Really, I don't think so...the question is Will Sanders help Trump by staying in and not giving Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #16
Precisely Sherman A1 Mar 2020 #20
If he knew what he was doing Aquaria Mar 2020 #29
Bernie fought the good fight BidenBacker Mar 2020 #9
I seem to recall in the not so distant past Sherman A1 Mar 2020 #21
Biden was hanging on by a thread BidenBacker Mar 2020 #28
+1 Meadowoak Mar 2020 #30
The difference is that Biden's campaign was hanging by a thread Aquaria Mar 2020 #38
There are not enough delegate for Sanders to win...thus time for a concession....the sooner the Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #41
Apples To Oranges, Sir, As You Know Well The Magistrate Mar 2020 #43
I completely disagree with your assessment Sherman A1 Mar 2020 #45
Every One Is Free To Publicly Announce He Is Mistaken, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #46
Time will tell Sherman A1 Mar 2020 #47
I love how actual Dems coalesced behind an actual Democrat, Biden. brush Mar 2020 #53
psst tell bernie that italy has universal health care, so does france, and switzerland nt msongs Mar 2020 #10
It would still help our Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #25
And on the other side of this pandemic lockdown, people will demand it here in the US Meadowoak Mar 2020 #31
C'mon and do the right thing Bernie. oasis Mar 2020 #14
Italy has single payer...and they have the worse death rate of all from the virus...thus Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #15
Check back in about 10 more days. The US will be in MUCH worse shape than Meadowoak Mar 2020 #32
No they won't. No one outside of Sander's supporters gives two fucks...we don't have time Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #34
You don't think they won't allow folks to die here? Check back in 10 days. We will surpass Meadowoak Mar 2020 #40
Well Trump has hurt our system so it is weak but it is easier to improve our system and offer Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #42
Maybe it will happen as our health care has been attacked by Trump and Medicaid was not expanded but Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #48
Still, neither the party nor the nation will elect a socialist. brush Mar 2020 #54
He's hoping we'll forget he's still running. ucrdem Mar 2020 #19
I have not heard his name mentioned once today...I didn't hear much about him yesterday except Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #35
On top of everything else, the nation has no bandwidth left to give to a continuing primary contest Tom Rinaldo Mar 2020 #23
+10000 I would advise he do it today...as this should increase his leverage in the Senate with Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #36
He needs to get out and work HARD to get is supporters redstatebluegirl Mar 2020 #27
Maybe Biden will pout when the nation demands single payer. Meadowoak Mar 2020 #33
The nation is fine with the ACA improved and a public option and we can get it done pretty quickly. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #37
Not when half the nation is unemployed for months on end. Meadowoak Mar 2020 #39
A Public option for anyone who wants it would take care of that. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #44
That is what expanding Medicaid was for. In Ohio my daughter was out of work for almost a year, Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #49
Once people go on Medicaid, they will never want to go back to Meadowoak Mar 2020 #50
Drop. Out. Now. DarthDem Mar 2020 #51
If BS cares about the country he will stand down TODAY! redstatebluegirl Mar 2020 #52
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