The Fed will have to 'break this economy' to tame inflation after the strong jobs report, [View all]
Mohamed El-Erian says.
Top economist Mohamed El-Erian said Friday's strong jobs report is good news for the economy but bad news for the Federal Reserve.
In an interview with Bloomberg, El-Erian, who is an economic adviser to Allianz and Gramercy, said the labor market data goes against the Fed's insistence that the economy is at a neutral position.
"[The Fed] is not going to welcome this report," El-Erian said. "It's bad news for them in every single way. It makes the notion that we are at 'neutral' comical."
In particular, El-Erian pointed to the inversion between the 2- and 10-year Treasury notes, which have been flashing a recession signal for more than a month straight. The spread, which has long preceded economic past downturns, deepened on Friday to its lowest point in decades.
"[The spread] is now at forty basis points, it's saying that [the Fed] is going to have to somehow break this economy to bring inflation under control," El-Erian maintained.
As for markets, El-Erian noted that technical indicators remain robust and still favor stocks following the new jobs data.
Nonetheless, the economy is in an uncertain spot now because the central bank has repeatedly been late with policy maneuvers, according to El-Erian. Now, the Fed is scrambling to make up for its own delays. >>>
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/fed-rate-outlook-jobs-report-break-markets-economy-mohamed-elerian-2022-8?
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