Is national debt too big for Congress to worry about?
By Clive Crook / Bloomberg Opinion
Its hard to think intelligently about public debt and deficits. The economics of fiscal policy is complicated and defies straightforward prescriptions. Whats most striking about budget-making in Washington today, though, is not that legislators are confused about what good debt-management requires. Its that theyve just stopped thinking about it.
If passed by the Senate, last weeks vast House budget bill would add between $3 trillion and $5 trillion to deficits over the next 10 years. Yet the plan hasnt divided the countrys politicians according to whether its fiscally reckless. Nowadays, that issue rarely comes up. All that matters is who gains and who loses from the proposed changes to taxes and spending. Whether the economy is heading for fiscal breakdown isnt Washingtons concern.
In 2002, Vice President Dick Cheney famously said deficits dont matter, noting that the national debt soared during Ronald Reagans time in office (from 21 percent of GDP to 35 percent) as the economy boomed. Conscientious fiscal neglect, as one might call it, is nothing new. The difference is that Cheneys comment was provocative and meant to be: It drew attention and was argued over. Not any longer. Nobody in Congress or the White House thinks it necessary to insist that deficits dont matter. Theyve simply stopped caring.
This suspension of fiscal anxiety might seem puzzling. Perhaps the public debt is now so big, and on such a fast-rising trajectory, that bringing it back under control seems impossibly difficult. A politician might therefore ask, why worry about it? Without this bill, debt was already on track to exceed 150 percent of gross domestic product by 2055. But theres no politically feasible way to rein it in. So why not cut taxes by another few trillion dollars over the next 10 years? Sure, this will raise the debt by another 10 percentage points, but the debt was unsustainable anyway, so whats your point?
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