GOP's tax cut bill is ill-timed for economic moment
By Kathryn Anne Edwards / Bloomberg Opinion
There are two distinct threats to the U.S. economy of 2025. One is the presidents shoot-first-ask-questions-later trade war, which has rattled both consumers and the bond market, not to mention economists. The other is the governments projected annual deficit of $1.9 trillion, despite more than three years of low unemployment and consistent growth.
The first threat makes a recession more likely, and the second would make a recession harder to deal with. At the risk of crying wolf in the face of an economy that has yet to show any tangible signs of weakness, allow me to say: The House Republicans tax bill is so ill-suited to the moment that the most charitable conclusion is that they simply do not know how to manage the economy.
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Nearly 70 percent of the U.S. economy is household consumption. So a critical component of macroeconomic stabilization is to prop up demand and keep households spending; or, to put it more bluntly, getting money to people who will quickly spend it. In general, the marginal propensity to consume is inversely related to income and wealth. Hence, during recessions, the government needs to get money and resources to low-income households and those who have lost their jobs.
The tax bill does the opposite. First, most of the benefits of the bills changes to the tax code flow to the top. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities estimates that half of the bills benefits go to the top 5 percent highest income households, based on the structure of the prior Tax Cut and Jobs Act. The Tax Policy Center finds that 68 percent of the tax change accrues to the top 20 percent of households, while the bottom 40 percent gets just 6 percent.
https://www.heraldnet.com/opinion/comment-gops-tax-cut-bill-is-ill-timed-for-economic-moment/

Bernardo de La Paz
(56,298 posts)Per Krugman
SheltieLover
(69,490 posts)
SWBTATTReg
(25,382 posts)velocity of money, hence more economic activities. Instead, they are awarding those that will literally sit on the money, not spend it, otherwise hoard it away.