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Du916

(114 posts)
Sun Apr 20, 2025, 07:38 AM Apr 2025

Churchill: Yes, Elise Stefanik could beat Kathy Hochul

Any Republican considering a run for governor here knows the odds are long and the pitfalls are numerous. And Stefanik, 40, would be giving up a safe congressional seat and GOP leadership positions. It’s fair to wonder if the risk would be worth taking.

But Stefanik is the best-known Republican in the state, which means it’s natural she would eye a run for governor. And she can make a good case for her chances.

She’d be facing a deeply unpopular Democrat, assuming Gov. Kathy Hochul is the nominee. In a new Marist poll in which voters express deep dissatisfaction with just about everything, nearly 60% of New Yorkers don’t want the governor to run for reelection, and just 9% think the Democrat is doing an excellent job..

https://www.timesunion.com/churchill/article/churchill-yes-elise-stefanik-beat-kathy-hochul-20282977.php

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Churchill: Yes, Elise Stefanik could beat Kathy Hochul (Original Post) Du916 Apr 2025 OP
well, that is unfortunate LymphocyteLover Apr 2025 #1
The State Legislature would eat Stefanik for lunch displacedvermoter Apr 2025 #2
Doubt Stefanik's chances even against a weakened Hochul. Who do the Dems have on the option list? dutch777 Apr 2025 #3
Hochul will be primaried. Du916 Apr 2025 #4
Thanks. If her numbers are that bad, I would hope she does bow out. We have seen what staying in too late does. dutch777 Apr 2025 #6
why is she unpopular? /nt bucolic_frolic Apr 2025 #5
"Feckless" and "ineffective" Du916 Apr 2025 #7

dutch777

(4,631 posts)
3. Doubt Stefanik's chances even against a weakened Hochul. Who do the Dems have on the option list?
Sun Apr 20, 2025, 08:19 AM
Apr 2025

Du916

(114 posts)
4. Hochul will be primaried.
Sun Apr 20, 2025, 08:27 AM
Apr 2025

Cuomo will endorse Ritchie Torres, who will primary Hochul, and Lt. Gov. Delgado wouldn’t endorse Hochul and is likely to primary her as well. If Hochul doesn’t run, also expect Tish James to jump into the race. Hochul should not run.

dutch777

(4,631 posts)
6. Thanks. If her numbers are that bad, I would hope she does bow out. We have seen what staying in too late does.
Sun Apr 20, 2025, 08:49 AM
Apr 2025

NY is such an interesting state. The political dynamic between Albany and NYC and NYC and the rest of that huge state is really something. It is much more than urban vs. suburban or rural. He in PA we certainly have differences but they seem pretty laid back in comparison.

Du916

(114 posts)
7. "Feckless" and "ineffective"
Sun Apr 20, 2025, 09:56 AM
Apr 2025

Are words I hear around Albany quite often. She gets crushed in Long Island, and did relatively poorly in NYC during the last general election. I don’t agree that Stefanik would beat her -- Stefanik is just too Trumpy. But a moderate Republican in the mold of Pataki who is not full-on MAGA would beat her. I’m just not sure there are any more of those left in the Republican Party.

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