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OGBuzz

(780 posts)
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 04:28 PM 14 hrs ago

Trump lost both the 2016 and the 2024 elections.

I have no proof, I have zero evidence, but I do have a "gut feeling" and I have common sense. In both elections the conspiracies to elect Trump were so "diabolical", first with the Russians in 2016 followed by Musk in 2024, that coming up with irrefutable evidence is all but impossible.

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Trump lost both the 2016 and the 2024 elections. (Original Post) OGBuzz 14 hrs ago OP
Your gut is correct Botany 13 hrs ago #1
He could see the numbers early and adjust them as necessary questionseverything 11 hrs ago #27
There was an interview back then with Tucker Carlson where Musk and his son were giggling MadameButterfly 11 hrs ago #35
Just as kacekwl 13 hrs ago #2
and Moses Mike Johnson yesterday. OGBuzz 13 hrs ago #5
The O/P is satire on Johnson's remarks, right? Well done. Nt AloeVera 11 hrs ago #36
Correct, and thanks for catching it, there's a couple in the comments here that didn't get it. OGBuzz 11 hrs ago #42
Here's a diabolical redux: IcyPeas 10 hrs ago #50
Thanks for posting the video, that's the b.s. from Johnson that I was responding to. OGBuzz 10 hrs ago #53
It's sickening and dangerous... IcyPeas 9 hrs ago #58
The man has zero integrity and he's the House Speaker. Things will not go well in November. OGBuzz 9 hrs ago #59
Trump won both elections fair & square. Jacson6 13 hrs ago #3
You got "proof"? OGBuzz 13 hrs ago #6
We have the audits states do EdmondDantes_ 13 hrs ago #9
States audited 2020 and Trump still denies that Biden won. As does pretty much every other MAGAt. OGBuzz 13 hrs ago #11
It holds as much evidentiary weight as trump's claim that he won 2020 except for the work of those "cheating Dems" Dave says 13 hrs ago #13
It is incredible Edmond that we can disagree in one thread and completely agree mr715 12 hrs ago #22
I think the OP was spoofing on Trump thinking his own gut feeling MadameButterfly 11 hrs ago #37
Well and we can't prove it if we don't get to look 👀 questionseverything 11 hrs ago #43
I believe you are missing the point from the OP FHRRK1 13 hrs ago #12
👍 It looks like my attempt at sarcasm completely failed with some.😂 I need to find one of those 'sarcasm' emojis OGBuzz 11 hrs ago #24
Damn it FHRRK1 11 hrs ago #28
I figured you meant to say "put every Republican win into doubt". Am I right? OGBuzz 11 hrs ago #30
Exactly, dumbass FHRRK1 9 hrs ago #55
It'd be nice if the software was open for review. Kid Berwyn 13 hrs ago #4
I will remain malaise 13 hrs ago #8
When we're dealing with grifters and cheaters, PatSeg 13 hrs ago #14
THIS malaise 13 hrs ago #15
We can always hope PatSeg 12 hrs ago #16
I feel like our system is broken at this point Melon 12 hrs ago #19
Digital vote counting can not be transparent because no human being can see inside the computer questionseverything 11 hrs ago #31
Voting in the US should be MANDATORY like it is in Australia. Tim S 13 hrs ago #7
If so many voters are anti-Republican sarisataka 13 hrs ago #10
What do you do with those who can't or won't pay the fine? MichMan 12 hrs ago #17
No. mr715 12 hrs ago #23
Opting out isn't a viable option.. The right to descent and choose a 3rd party is the way to express your opinion Tim S 11 hrs ago #25
So, do you fine non-voters? mr715 11 hrs ago #26
I don't know how Australia does it (you're welcome to look it up) but... Tim S 11 hrs ago #32
How about make voting easy, incentivize it, and ritualize it mr715 11 hrs ago #34
States are free to choose their Electors for the Electoral College as they be fit, but... Tim S 11 hrs ago #39
Well, it'll take a Constitutional convention mr715 11 hrs ago #40
Agreed... Tim S 11 hrs ago #45
I don't know, honestly. mr715 11 hrs ago #48
Australia holds elections on Saturday which allows many more people to go to the polls. OGBuzz 11 hrs ago #46
Interesting. You proposing a voting tax.... Melon 9 hrs ago #57
Maybe folks can get with the Spencer Pratt people Sympthsical 12 hrs ago #18
As a corollary question... kentuck 12 hrs ago #20
There is proof. see below. in2herbs 12 hrs ago #21
Thanks for posting. yellow dahlia 11 hrs ago #29
I took a couple of statistics courses eons ago so I know a little about the subect. flashman13 11 hrs ago #33
Ding ding malaise 11 hrs ago #38
Exactly, it's all about being afraid to look wrong questionseverything 11 hrs ago #44
Misunderstanding predictive statistics. mr715 10 hrs ago #49
Statistically "damned near zero", is not the same as impossible MichMan 10 hrs ago #54
Everything Trump accuses others of Dave Id 11 hrs ago #41
He is the Projector-in-Chief. OGBuzz 11 hrs ago #47
I don't see much point in speculating about those elections. ShazzieB 10 hrs ago #51
My original post was intended to be sarcasm in response to Mike Johnson's comments yesterday casting doubt OGBuzz 10 hrs ago #52
Crazy how he couldn't steal 2020 then... Polybius 9 hrs ago #56

Botany

(78,046 posts)
1. Your gut is correct
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 04:35 PM
13 hrs ago

Musk has admitted to cheating in the 2024 election when he said that he had a special app
that let him see the results of the election earlier. That wasn’t an app that was a hack.

MadameButterfly

(4,226 posts)
35. There was an interview back then with Tucker Carlson where Musk and his son were giggling
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:00 PM
11 hrs ago

about having the power to do whatever they want; they could barely keep it inside. If we could only have called up Tom Cruise I'm sure we'd have had a "Damn right I ordered the code red" moment.

OGBuzz

(780 posts)
42. Correct, and thanks for catching it, there's a couple in the comments here that didn't get it.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:20 PM
11 hrs ago

They just replayed Johnson's comments from yesterday and now I'm angry all over again.

IcyPeas

(25,950 posts)
58. It's sickening and dangerous...
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 08:42 PM
9 hrs ago

that the speaker of the house is promoting election lies.

Trump's consiglieres must have some diabolical dirty dirt on Saint Mikey.

OGBuzz

(780 posts)
59. The man has zero integrity and he's the House Speaker. Things will not go well in November.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 09:13 PM
9 hrs ago

There is no bottom for these people. I think you're right about the dirt.

EdmondDantes_

(2,222 posts)
9. We have the audits states do
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:02 PM
13 hrs ago

We have that there are protections in place to protect voting both through elected officials and poll workers. We have that all the claimed evidence people like the this will hold substack falls apart on looking closer. We have our success in down ticket and off cycle elections. We have that Biden won in 2020. We have that the elections were pretty close to pre election polls.

You have a gut feeling.

These don't deserve the same weight even if you want to say all of the above other than the audits are just circumstantial or inferential evidence.

OGBuzz

(780 posts)
11. States audited 2020 and Trump still denies that Biden won. As does pretty much every other MAGAt.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:08 PM
13 hrs ago

Anyhow, I was channelling Moses Mike Johnson from yesterday when he said that "diabolical" forces were at work in California and were responsible for eliminating Spencer Pratt from the LA mayoral race.

Dave says

(5,492 posts)
13. It holds as much evidentiary weight as trump's claim that he won 2020 except for the work of those "cheating Dems"
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:16 PM
13 hrs ago

Which means neither have sufficient weight.

mr715

(4,681 posts)
22. It is incredible Edmond that we can disagree in one thread and completely agree
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:16 PM
12 hrs ago

elsewhere.

Cheers.

MadameButterfly

(4,226 posts)
37. I think the OP was spoofing on Trump thinking his own gut feeling
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:06 PM
11 hrs ago

was enough to make the case for a stolen election. It's not like Dems haven't had plenty of reason to suspect skulduggery. We just don't try to charge anybody if we can't prove it. Then it looks like they are the only side with a complaint.

FHRRK1

(188 posts)
12. I believe you are missing the point from the OP
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:13 PM
13 hrs ago

If they are going to state every Dem win is due to fraud, then it seems to be fair to put every Dem win into doubt.

OGBuzz

(780 posts)
24. 👍 It looks like my attempt at sarcasm completely failed with some.😂 I need to find one of those 'sarcasm' emojis
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:37 PM
11 hrs ago

before trying again in the future.

Kid Berwyn

(25,291 posts)
4. It'd be nice if the software was open for review.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 04:44 PM
13 hrs ago

For some reason, I have a problem with the fact the voting machine companies are owned by the Epstein Class.

PatSeg

(53,813 posts)
14. When we're dealing with grifters and cheaters,
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:19 PM
13 hrs ago

we have to remain "doubters". We know from experience that they WILL do whatever necessary to win. It doesn't matter if it is legitimate or not. We've seen this for many years now. If they can cheat, they will.

malaise

(298,765 posts)
15. THIS
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:23 PM
13 hrs ago

I know enough about stolen elections financed by local and foreign interests in this hemisphere.
I hope I live long enough to see evidence to justify my doubts.

PatSeg

(53,813 posts)
16. We can always hope
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:37 PM
12 hrs ago

I just can't abide liars and thieves; there are SO many of them.

Melon

(1,817 posts)
19. I feel like our system is broken at this point
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:09 PM
12 hrs ago

How can it take weeks to count votes? And then once it happens only a manual recount can audit? It’s crazy in this day and age. All of this should be fast and transparent to the general public. It should take days to digitally audit every vote against voter roles. Our system should never be so convoluted that it’s questionable by any party.

questionseverything

(12,126 posts)
31. Digital vote counting can not be transparent because no human being can see inside the computer
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:49 PM
11 hrs ago

Tim S

(333 posts)
7. Voting in the US should be MANDATORY like it is in Australia.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:00 PM
13 hrs ago

You decided to skip your obligation to help shape your government? Then you get fined… everytime you’re stupid enough to sit it out & just gripe that “they’re all bad”.

If voting were mandatory for everyone, then there would be a LOT less Republicans in office (and therefore a LOT less scheming). And the oligarchs would have a tougher time (finally!)

sarisataka

(22,954 posts)
10. If so many voters are anti-Republican
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 05:06 PM
13 hrs ago

why do they have to be ordered to vote?
Why are we failing to convince them their vote matters?

Tim S

(333 posts)
25. Opting out isn't a viable option.. The right to descent and choose a 3rd party is the way to express your opinion
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:37 PM
11 hrs ago

It might even break the two-party stranglehold that upsets many citizens and put us on the road to coalition governing in our congress (like most other countries)

mr715

(4,681 posts)
26. So, do you fine non-voters?
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:39 PM
11 hrs ago

When they sue on the grounds that they shouldn't be forced to reduce down their politics to a single checkbox, how do you litigate

Tim S

(333 posts)
32. I don't know how Australia does it (you're welcome to look it up) but...
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:56 PM
11 hrs ago

It makes sense to me to tie it in to another event that’s mandatory: paying our income taxes. If you don’t submit proof of voting (issued at the polling station or receipt for mail-in ballot) then you’d be liable for $1,000 as a tax fee. That’s for Federal. For states? Not all states have income tax so I don’t have anything for that.

Voting in primaries shouldn’t mandatory because some folks insist on not being in a party (i.e., not helping to select final candidates). But I think voting in general elections should be mandatory — force everyone into becoming part of the solution — some skin in the game — instead of being a do nothing complainer.

mr715

(4,681 posts)
34. How about make voting easy, incentivize it, and ritualize it
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:59 PM
11 hrs ago

I understand the spirit of what you are trying to do, but we aren't parliamentary like Australia.

States administer elections, right? So there would be 50 states with 50 different ways of doing things. Plus, you'd require people in Puerto Rico, Guam, etc. to vote without any representation?

Mandating voting is not feasible in our system

Tim S

(333 posts)
39. States are free to choose their Electors for the Electoral College as they be fit, but...
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:13 PM
11 hrs ago

There *are* some Federal regulations regarding Federal elections (like when Election Day is). I suppose NOT paying a $1,000 election fee to the IRS by submitting proof of voting is, by definition, incentive-based. Maybe I’m too old-school, but I still believe that voting is a responsibility of every citizen. We have, what, 40% turn out? Something like that.

If the oligarchy keeps going the way it is, big money will find a way to incentivize NOT-voting — paying people not to exercise their right to choose their government, If voting was mandatory, we could make that scenario impossible. (Kinda future-proofing ourselves from worsening conditions)

mr715

(4,681 posts)
40. Well, it'll take a Constitutional convention
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:16 PM
11 hrs ago

or a 13 seat Supreme Court to break the oligarchy now.

Mandatory voting, which is effectively state mandated speech, ain't going to survive here.

Tim S

(333 posts)
45. Agreed...
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:25 PM
11 hrs ago

I know courts consider voting as speech. Government mandated speech sounds pretty Orwellian, but then again, what happens if you refuse to swear an oath when subpoenaed to testify in a court of law? Isn’t that mandated speech? (I’m just being silly now)

mr715

(4,681 posts)
48. I don't know, honestly.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:29 PM
11 hrs ago

It is a tough question. I think the Constitutional answer is subpoenas compel you to show, but not to self incriminate.

As for oaths... it is problematic that we can put our hand on a Bible, or Quran, or Analects or whatever... I guess people "affirm" on secular texts.

OGBuzz

(780 posts)
46. Australia holds elections on Saturday which allows many more people to go to the polls.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:25 PM
11 hrs ago

Melon

(1,817 posts)
57. Interesting. You proposing a voting tax....
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 08:40 PM
9 hrs ago

No thanks. With freedom comes….freedom.
You do you boo. Forcing people to do things, even in the countries interest is unAmerican. Self determination is a thing.

Sympthsical

(11,226 posts)
18. Maybe folks can get with the Spencer Pratt people
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:08 PM
12 hrs ago

You know, compare notes. Share all this evidence that's apparently laying around everywhere.

Stephen Colbert used to make fun of this stuff. Truthiness, when you don't need facts, because you feel it in your gut.

kentuck

(115,817 posts)
20. As a corollary question...
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:13 PM
12 hrs ago

Would Trump cheat if he had the chance? I think we all know the answer to that question.

in2herbs

(4,630 posts)
21. There is proof. see below.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:16 PM
12 hrs ago

https://kaitjustice.substack.com/p/ivanka-trump-albania-epstein-kushner
Access the above link and then scroll down to Kait Justice’s May 21 post titled “The Gap in How America Detected Election Fraud I Found in the Epstein Files”.

flashman13

(2,603 posts)
33. I took a couple of statistics courses eons ago so I know a little about the subect.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 06:57 PM
11 hrs ago

The chances of winning seven swing states by margins just large enough not to trigger automatic recounts are damned near zero. That could happen in land slide elections like like Reagan vs Carter and Mondale or Nixon vs McGovern. In those elections none of the state margins were close. But 2024 was a 49/49% squeaker and I don't see any way there could have been a seven state sweep.

Think about it this way. They are called swing states because they could go either way. Coins are like that. Flip a coin and it could go either way. Flip a coin seven times. Odds are that you will get a 4 - 3 split. You might get a 5 - 2 split. Chances are very low that you will get a 6 - 1 split. Statistically speaking, the chances of a 7 - 0 split are damned near zero.

The Democrats should have challenged voting in the swing states. Yes, I know, they didn't want to sound like whiners. Now we are stuck with a raving lunatic for a President that whines everyday like a spoiled child.

mr715

(4,681 posts)
49. Misunderstanding predictive statistics.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:41 PM
10 hrs ago

A coin flip happening n times is n independent events.

States are not moving independently. PA, WI, and MI have a lot in common.



Edit: I think it is called Bayesian modelling. The question isn't the probability of having won or lost all 7 swing states. The question is the probability of winning X GIVEN you have won either PA or MI or NC or whatever.

MichMan

(17,498 posts)
54. Statistically "damned near zero", is not the same as impossible
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 08:31 PM
10 hrs ago

The chance of flipping a coin and getting a 6-1 result is 5.47 %. The chance of getting a 7-0 result is 0.78%. Coin flips are completely independent of each other, so that isn't really a good analogy.

Barack Obama won nearly all the swing states in both 2008 & 2012 for example. Joe Biden in 2020 won the swing states of Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, & Nevada. Only one he lost was North Carolina. It isn't as statistically impossible as you think it is.

ShazzieB

(22,998 posts)
51. I don't see much point in speculating about those elections.
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 07:55 PM
10 hrs ago

I'm not saying you're right, and I'm not saying you're wrong. I honestly have no idea. I just think it's a moot point:

*Moot point describes a topic or issue that is debatable or arguable but that there is no foreseeable solution or answer to.

*Most people use moot point to indicate that continued discussions on the topic or issue at hand would be a waste of time because there will never be an agreement, or the topic simply doesn't matter anymore.

*You might also call a topic a moot point if you could talk about is indefinitely without ever reaching an agreement, answer, or solution.

*A moot point is a fact that doesn’t matter because it doesn’t apply or contribute to the current situation or topic.

Source: https://www.poised.com/blog/moot-point

In other words, like my mom would say if she were still alive, it's all water under the bridge. Whatever happened, happened; he got into office both times, and we're stuck with the resulting mess.

If he did steal both of those elections (and whether he did or not, I'm sure he wanted to), that's just 2 more items to add to the already encyclopedically long list of his high crimes and misdemeanors. It's frustrating, but everything to do with him is frustrating.

OGBuzz

(780 posts)
52. My original post was intended to be sarcasm in response to Mike Johnson's comments yesterday casting doubt
Tue Jun 9, 2026, 08:23 PM
10 hrs ago

on the primaries in California because their boy Spencer Pratt didn't make the cut for the LA mayoral race. JD Vance pretty much said the same. So for Republicans it's only a fair election if they win, otherwise the election must be rigged. Trump needs to learn about 'moot point' because he's been claiming the 2020 election was stolen for 6 years. Now he's got Todd Blanche at DoJ, and Bill Pulte managing 18 intelligence and security agencies, and I'm quite certain they'll get right on it.

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