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RandySF

(82,441 posts)
Mon Feb 16, 2026, 01:14 AM 9 hrs ago

CA-GOV: Crowded California governor's race creates opening for Republicans

PERSONAL NOTE: I've been worried about this, myself,


The crowded field of Democratic candidates running for governor in California could give Republicans a rare opening in the deep blue stronghold.

More than a half-dozen Democrats seen as serious contenders are competing in the Golden State’s June 2 primary, where all candidates will appear on the same ballot and the top two vote-getters will advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

With no clear party front-runner, experts warn there’s a real chance the Democrats splinter voter support, carving a path for two Republicans to move forward as a new model shows​ the possibility of a red-on-red race in the solidly blue state.

“The risk is that we have a situation where no Democrat makes the runoff. And if that happened, it would dramatically impact the general election,” said Paul Mitchell, a California Democratic data expert who developed the model.


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5738343-california-democrats-primary-risk/
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CA-GOV: Crowded California governor's race creates opening for Republicans (Original Post) RandySF 9 hrs ago OP
An estimated 12.5% chance of a Republican getting elected. After which, there would be a recall. PeaceWave 9 hrs ago #1
Oh No! Dems in "disarray" from The Hill maxrandb 3 hrs ago #2

PeaceWave

(2,895 posts)
1. An estimated 12.5% chance of a Republican getting elected. After which, there would be a recall.
Mon Feb 16, 2026, 01:16 AM
9 hrs ago

maxrandb

(17,333 posts)
2. Oh No! Dems in "disarray" from The Hill
Mon Feb 16, 2026, 07:25 AM
3 hrs ago

First, the LA Times (basically Moony Times now) runs a story that "there are so many Dems running in California, it shows a 'lack of enthusiasm' on the left".

Now, The Hill weighs in on the 11% chance California voters are going to go full "fascist" party and, as a bonus, drag down the midterms.

To paraphrase....

LA Times: "There's too many Democrats running for Governor...there must be a lack of enthusiasm!"

The Hill: "Nobody goes there anymore, it's too crowded"

Is Yogi Berra writing these stories, or is there an agenda?

Dems have a better chance to win Wyoming than Retrumplicans have to win California.

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